Weekly Economic Update – 10/12/2026

The Week on Wall Street

Stocks ended last week higher after an up-and-down week where a kitchen sink of economic, geopolitical, and AI-related events competed for investors’ attention.

The Standard & Poor’s 500 Index rose 1.15 percent, while the Nasdaq Composite Index advanced 0.64 percent. The Dow Jones Industrial Average gained 0.93 percent. The MSCI EAFE Index, which tracks developed overseas stock markets, fell 0.45 percent.1,2

A Choppy Advance

Stocks opened higher to start the week, demonstrating continued resilience despite rising Treasury yields. Stocks continued their climb on Tuesday as cooler yields prevailed and oil prices treaded water. AI chipmakers led the broad market higher, with the S&P 500 closing above 7,800 for the first time and the Nasdaq also notching a record close.3,4

Then markets stumbled midweek, opening lower on Wednesday after Treasury yields hit fresh multidecade highs. However, stocks rebounded after an encouraging 10-year Treasury auction appeared to allay some fears, with the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq reversing the lion’s share of declines by the closing bell.5

Jitters crept back into market sentiment as stocks opened lower Thursday. The Nasdaq closed down nearly 1½ percent, its biggest one-day decline since mid-August.6

Stocks rebounded Friday to finish the week strong, with megacap tech stocks rallying and oil prices falling on news of a deal to supply diesel to U.S. and global markets. Healthcare stocks also contributed to the gains as the Nasdaq logged its fourth consecutive weekly gain.7

As the Fed Turns

Three things happened on Wednesday that made the Federal Reserve’s job a bit more complex as it weighs its decision on interest rates at its next meeting later this month.

Yields on both the bellwether 10-year Treasury note and the 30-year Treasury bond hit new 24-year highs, which contributed to mortgage rates reaching a near-three-year high. However, a well-received auction of 10-year Treasury notes seemed to suggest that buyers believed yields would eventually fall again.8

This Week: Key Economic Data

Tuesday: NFIB Small Business Optimism Index. Existing Home Sales. Monthly Treasury Statement and Outlays.

Wednesday: Consumer Price Index (CPI). Federal Reserve Beige Book.

Thursday: Weekly Jobless Claims. Producer Price Index (PPI). Manufacturing & Trade Inventories. Cleveland Fed President Beth Hammack speaks.

Friday: Import Prices. Industrial Production. Capacity Utilization.

Source: Investor’s Business Daily – Econoday economic calendar: October 9, 2026. The Econoday economic calendar lists upcoming U.S. economic data releases (including key economic indicators), Federal Reserve policy meetings, and speaking engagements of Federal Reserve officials. The content is developed from sources believed to provide accurate information. The forecasts or forward-looking statements are based on assumptions and may not materialize. The forecasts are also subject to revision.

This Week: Companies Reporting Earnings

Tuesday: JPMorgan Chase & Co. (JPM), Johnson & Johnson (JNJ), UnitedHealth Group Incorporated (UNH), The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc. (GS), Wells Fargo & Company (WFC), Citigroup Inc. (C)

Wednesday: Bank of America Corporation (BAC), Morgan Stanley (MS), BlackRock (BLK), Fastenal Company (FAST)

Thursday: The Charles Schwab Corporation (SCHW), Interactive Brokers Group, Inc. (IBKR), Prologis, Inc. (PLD), BNY (BNY), U.S. Bancorp (USB), The PNC Financial Services Group, Inc. (PNC), Marsh (MRSH)

Friday: The Travelers Companies, Inc. (TRV), Truist Financial Corporation (TFC)

Source: Zacks, October 9, 2026. Companies mentioned are for informational purposes only. It should not be considered a solicitation for the purchase or sale of the securities. Investing involves risks, and investment decisions should be based on your goals, time horizon, and risk tolerance. The return and principal value of investments will fluctuate as market conditions change. When sold, investments may be worth more or less than their original cost. Companies may reschedule their earnings reports without notice.

YCharts Weekly Market Insights: Major Index Return Summary as of October 9, 2026
YCharts 10-Year Note Review: 10 Year Treasury Rate 5.24% as of October 9, 2026

Source: YCharts.com, October 10, 2026. Weekly performance is measured from Monday, October 5 to Friday, October 9. TR = total return for the index, which includes any dividends as well as any other cash distributions during the period. Treasury note yield is expressed in basis points.

Weekly Riddle

I’m tall when I’m young and short when I’m old, usually indoors and sometimes on fire. What am I?

Last Week’s Riddle: Simply talk about it, and you will break it. What is it?

Answer: Silence.


John Dombroski Jr. may be reached at (480) 991-1055
or [email protected]
www.grandcanyonplanning.com

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