The Week on Wall Street
Stocks lost a little ground as February gave way to March. While domestic and overseas political developments made headlines, the market stayed relatively calm: from Monday’s open through Friday’s close, the S&P 500 ceded but 0.17%, finishing the week at 2,803.69.1
The Dow declined 0.65% in five trading sessions to 26,026.32, while the Nasdaq finished the week 0.06% higher at 7,595.35. The MSCI EAFE index of international stocks rose 0.24% for the week.2,3,4
Volatility has dropped in the past few weeks. Wall Street has grown less anxious about the possibility of new tariffs and higher interest rates this year.
Powell Shares His Outlook
Last week, Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell told the Senate that Fed officials would take a “patient approach” with regard to future interest rate moves. Powell called the economy “healthy,” but noted “conflicting signals” have emerged in recent months; he said that he was not concerned about inflation picking up in response to wage growth.
After making four rate hikes in 2018 and forecasting two more for 2019, the Fed has adopted a “wait-and-see” approach to monetary policy in the new year.5
Planned March Tariffs Delayed
Earlier in the week, President Trump opted to postpone the 15% increase in tariffs on many Chinese imports slated for the start of March. He did not announce a new deadline. Thursday, U.S. officials said that the deadline had been suspended “until further notice.”
As we noted two weeks ago, the White House had indicated it might postpone new tariffs if substantial progress was made with China on trade talks.6
U.K. lawmakers will vote on a revised Brexit deal on March 12. If they reject it, they have two options left. They can either ask the European Union to push back the March 29 Brexit deadline or choose to leave the E.U. without a deal.7
March 15 is the deadline for most partnerships and S corporations to send in their 2018 federal tax returns or extensions. (Some states that tax corporate income set different due dates.)8
The Week Ahead: Key Economic Data
- Tuesday: The latest new home sales numbers from the Census Bureau.
- Wednesday: Payroll-processing giant ADP releases its February national employment report.
- Friday: The Department of Labor releases its February job market snapshot.
The Week Ahead: Companies Reporting Earnings
- Monday: Salesforce (CRM)
- Tuesday: Kohl’s (KSS), Target (TGT), Urban Outfitters (URBN)
- Wednesday: Abercrombie (ANF), Dollar Tree (DLTR)
- Thursday: Burlington Stores (BURL), Costco (COST), Tech Data (TECD)
|Market Index||Close March 01||Week||YTD|
|Treasury||Close March 01||Week||YTD|
|10 Year Note||2.76||+0.11||+0.07|
Sources: wsj.com, treasury.gov - 3/01/2019
Indices are unmanaged, do not incur fees or expenses, and cannot be invested into directly. These returns do not include dividends. Weekly and year-to-date market index returns are expressed as percentages. 10-year Treasury note yield = projected return on investment, expressed as a percentage, on the U.S. government’s 10-year bond. Weekly and year-to-date 10-year Treasury note yield differences are expressed in basis points.